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Red49
790318.6
57818.6
151119.4
Blue129
155937.3
149340.8
205327.2
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5910305015049129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1511
#24
19.41.2
21.019.8
Auto3.4
Teleop8.3
End7.7
blue by 21.3
1493
#14
40.83.4
35.639.0
Auto14.1
Teleop16.4
End10.3
Second
578
#43
18.61.2
20.118.9
Auto2.2
Teleop11.7
End4.8
blue by 18.7
1559
#15
37.33.4
31.434.8
Auto12.5
Teleop19.0
End5.8
Third
7903
#41
18.61.2
19.618.4
Auto2.3
Teleop10.0
End6.3
blue by 8.6
2053
#11
27.23.4
24.127.5
Auto13.1
Teleop9.2
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
50%Activation oddsMissed46%Activation oddsEarned