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Red76
205327.2
155122.6
151119.4
Blue51
158510.3
379918.5
574026.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7659020401001201407651

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2053
#11
27.20.3
27.527.2
Auto13.1
Teleop9.2
End4.9
red by 0.5
5740
#23
26.71.6
25.523.9
Auto4.6
Teleop13.3
End8.8
Second
1551
#20
22.60.4
22.121.8
Auto9.7
Teleop5.0
End7.9
red by 4.1
3799
#49
18.51.6
20.118.5
Auto5.7
Teleop8.7
End4.0
Third
1511
#24
19.40.3
19.819.4
Auto3.4
Teleop8.3
End7.7
red by 9.2
1585
#50
10.31.6
11.810.3
Auto2.7
Teleop2.0
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
67%Activation oddsEarned41%Activation oddsMissed