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Red65
630013.4
155937.3
57818.6
Blue66
559021.4
25029.7
383822.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70842040601001206566

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1559
#15
37.30.2
34.834.6
Auto12.5
Teleop19.0
End5.8
red by 7.6
250
#21
29.71.1
31.130.0
Auto7.5
Teleop16.0
End6.3
Second
578
#43
18.60.2
18.918.6
Auto2.2
Teleop11.7
End4.8
blue by 3.7
3838
#36
22.31.1
23.422.3
Auto6.7
Teleop9.2
End6.4
Third
6300
#53
13.40.2
13.713.4
Auto1.6
Teleop8.9
End2.9
blue by 8.0
5590
#34
21.41.1
22.521.4
Auto7.9
Teleop7.7
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
28%Activation oddsMissed63%Activation oddsMissed