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Red93
540656.1
23403.6
318133.9
Blue126
999328.8
301555.2
150736.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10113905020025030035093126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.10.3
54.954.6
Auto15.5
Teleop31.0
End9.0
red by 0.9
55.20.1
61.261.3
Auto13.6
Teleop33.3
End8.0
Second
3181
#16
33.90.3
35.835.5
Auto10.0
Teleop17.4
End6.5
blue by 2.9
1507
#18
36.80.1
45.345.3
Auto15.0
Teleop14.6
End7.2
Third
2340
#33
3.60.4
7.16.7
Auto2.7
Teleop0.4
End0.4
blue by 25.3
28.80.1
18.318.5
Auto7.4
Teleop15.6
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
44%Sustainability oddsMissed58%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
43%Activation oddsEarned90%Activation oddsEarned