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Red96
383819.4
159158.6
158512.1
Blue78
395124.5
379916.1
150736.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8988808590959678

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1591
#11
58.60.8
55.756.5
Auto15.3
Teleop33.9
End8.1
red by 21.8
1507
#18
36.81.8
41.539.7
Auto15.0
Teleop14.6
End7.2
Second
3838
#24
19.40.8
19.220.0
Auto7.8
Teleop5.0
End6.7
blue by 5.1
3951
#10
24.51.8
24.422.6
Auto8.9
Teleop10.1
End5.7
Third
1585
#12
12.10.8
9.210.0
Auto5.0
Teleop1.7
End5.6
blue by 4.0
3799
#28
16.11.8
17.015.2
Auto4.3
Teleop7.6
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
43%Activation oddsEarned60%Activation oddsMissed