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Red128
158512.1
301555.2
999638.8
Blue47
42426.2
34032.8
686822.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107100608012014012847

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.22.1
57.059.1
Auto13.6
Teleop33.3
End8.0
red by 22.4
340
#26
32.83.3
38.034.7
Auto6.7
Teleop19.1
End7.1
Second
38.83.5
29.432.9
Auto9.5
Teleop21.9
End7.8
red by 12.6
424
#25
26.23.3
32.629.2
Auto7.3
Teleop14.0
End5.0
Third
1585
#12
12.12.1
10.012.1
Auto5.0
Teleop1.7
End5.6
blue by 9.9
6868
#30
22.03.3
26.423.1
Auto6.6
Teleop11.3
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
21%Sustainability oddsEarned15%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned50%Activation oddsMissed