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Red95
686822.0
317343.7
379916.1
Blue105
63930.6
493030.3
403958.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9613905020025030095105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3173
#14
43.71.4
47.746.3
Auto13.4
Teleop22.6
End7.7
blue by 14.7
58.41.3
60.459.1
Auto13.3
Teleop35.2
End8.8
Second
6868
#30
22.01.4
29.428.0
Auto6.6
Teleop11.3
End4.1
blue by 8.5
639
#13
30.61.3
32.831.5
Auto9.4
Teleop13.2
End8.0
Third
3799
#28
16.11.8
18.516.7
Auto4.3
Teleop7.6
End4.3
blue by 14.2
4930
#21
30.31.3
31.730.3
Auto5.3
Teleop18.7
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed48%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
53%Activation oddsMissed57%Activation oddsMissed