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Red89
179646.8
703119.9
691137.9
Blue120
752234.2
588119.2
300333.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions887505010015020025089120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.80.6
31.532.2
Auto12.5
Teleop26.2
End8.1
red by 12.7
7522
#11
34.24.2
25.930.1
Auto12.1
Teleop17.1
End5.0
Second
6911
#25
37.90.6
33.334.0
Auto16.1
Teleop12.8
End9.0
red by 4.6
3003
#17
33.33.4
30.934.2
Auto12.9
Teleop13.7
End6.7
Third
7031
#48
19.90.9
15.816.7
Auto7.1
Teleop9.5
End3.3
red by 0.7
5881
#33
19.24.2
15.319.6
Auto3.5
Teleop10.2
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
72%Activation oddsEarned58%Activation oddsEarned