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Red107
909923.2
179646.8
25042.5
Blue75
19125.8
42436.3
700415.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9876406012014016010775

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.81.2
32.233.3
Auto12.5
Teleop26.2
End8.1
red by 10.6
424
#22
36.30.3
31.431.1
Auto10.5
Teleop20.1
End5.7
Second
250
#10
42.51.3
34.936.2
Auto11.3
Teleop25.3
End5.9
red by 16.7
191
#40
25.80.3
25.625.2
Auto4.9
Teleop13.2
End7.7
Third
9099
#42
23.21.9
22.524.4
Auto8.3
Teleop10.6
End4.3
red by 7.9
7004
#46
15.30.3
17.116.9
Auto5.7
Teleop6.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
63%Activation oddsMissed53%Activation oddsMissed