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Red120
260149.4
731825.5
752234.2
Blue109
14437.0
42436.3
34043.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9111320406080100140160180120109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.42.1
42.244.4
Auto13.4
Teleop27.4
End8.6
red by 6.0
340
#7
43.40.5
40.240.6
Auto10.1
Teleop26.2
End7.2
Second
7522
#11
34.23.5
29.032.5
Auto12.1
Teleop17.1
End5.0
blue by 2.8
144
#4
37.00.4
32.132.5
Auto10.5
Teleop19.4
End7.0
Third
7318
#27
25.53.5
17.020.5
Auto8.4
Teleop11.9
End5.3
blue by 10.8
424
#22
36.30.4
31.131.4
Auto10.5
Teleop20.1
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsEarned11%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned66%Activation oddsEarned