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Red90
703018.7
63932.8
57831.7
Blue117
34043.4
514916.9
149345.7
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7611020406010012014016018090117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
639
#12
32.80.9
29.430.4
Auto10.1
Teleop15.3
End7.4
blue by 12.9
45.70.9
44.345.1
Auto12.4
Teleop23.3
End10.0
Second
578
#23
31.70.9
27.728.6
Auto6.8
Teleop17.4
End7.4
blue by 11.7
340
#7
43.40.9
41.442.2
Auto10.1
Teleop26.2
End7.2
Third
7030
#45
18.71.6
18.820.4
Auto3.3
Teleop8.7
End6.7
red by 1.8
5149
#43
16.91.4
13.515.0
Auto3.2
Teleop10.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed24%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
32%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsEarned