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Red70
445829.9
750421.1
909923.2
Blue92
731825.5
34043.4
81033.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8310040601201401607092

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4458
#16
29.90.7
29.929.2
Auto10.2
Teleop13.2
End6.4
blue by 13.5
340
#7
43.40.3
42.241.9
Auto10.1
Teleop26.2
End7.2
Second
9099
#42
23.21.2
25.924.8
Auto8.3
Teleop10.6
End4.3
blue by 10.1
810
#21
33.30.3
28.227.9
Auto9.0
Teleop19.3
End4.9
Third
7504
#19
21.11.2
24.623.4
Auto5.9
Teleop9.3
End5.9
blue by 4.4
7318
#27
25.50.5
21.120.6
Auto8.4
Teleop11.9
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
17%Sustainability oddsMissed27%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
74%Activation oddsEarned53%Activation oddsMissed