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Red133
25042.5
14437.0
81033.3
Blue99
2048.4
703119.9
151127.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11197608012014016013399

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
250
#10
42.52.1
40.242.3
Auto11.3
Teleop25.3
End5.9
blue by 5.9
20
#5
48.40.4
48.248.7
Auto13.5
Teleop26.2
End8.6
Second
144
#4
37.02.1
33.735.7
Auto10.5
Teleop19.4
End7.0
red by 9.9
1511
#35
27.00.4
24.825.2
Auto8.8
Teleop11.6
End6.7
Third
810
#21
33.32.1
28.330.3
Auto9.0
Teleop19.3
End4.9
red by 13.4
7031
#48
19.90.7
19.520.2
Auto7.1
Teleop9.5
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
22%Sustainability oddsEarned11%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
33%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsEarned