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Red113
63932.8
2048.4
588119.2
Blue93
42436.3
57831.7
731825.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1079940608012014016018011393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20
#5
48.40.2
48.548.7
Auto13.5
Teleop26.2
End8.6
red by 12.1
424
#22
36.30.0
35.935.8
Auto10.5
Teleop20.1
End5.7
Second
639
#12
32.80.2
33.033.3
Auto10.1
Teleop15.3
End7.4
red by 1.2
578
#23
31.70.0
32.132.1
Auto6.8
Teleop17.4
End7.4
Third
5881
#33
19.20.3
18.018.4
Auto3.5
Teleop10.2
End5.6
blue by 6.3
7318
#27
25.50.0
25.625.5
Auto8.4
Teleop11.9
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
15%Sustainability oddsMissed14%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned70%Activation oddsMissed