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Red98
752234.2
81033.3
445829.9
Blue61
279145.7
457122.7
395039.6
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100124501509861

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7522
#11
34.20.1
33.934.0
Auto12.1
Teleop17.1
End5.0
blue by 11.5
2791
#30
45.73.5
46.643.1
Auto12.3
Teleop26.7
End6.6
Second
810
#21
33.30.1
32.933.0
Auto9.0
Teleop19.3
End4.9
blue by 6.3
3950
#13
39.63.5
42.739.3
Auto9.8
Teleop22.1
End7.7
Third
4458
#16
29.90.1
29.829.9
Auto10.2
Teleop13.2
End6.4
red by 7.2
4571
#28
22.73.5
23.620.1
Auto5.1
Teleop9.9
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
20%Sustainability oddsMissed47%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
62%Activation oddsMissed84%Activation oddsMissed