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Red112
618143.9
130816.9
642149.3
Blue86
332422.6
155131.2
414528.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions837120406010012014011286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.32.0
39.741.8
Auto15.2
Teleop26.6
End7.5
red by 18.1
1551
#11
31.21.6
22.624.2
Auto12.1
Teleop11.3
End7.8
Second
43.93.4
20.423.8
Auto10.4
Teleop24.3
End9.1
red by 16.0
4145
#48
28.01.4
25.827.3
Auto6.8
Teleop15.3
End5.8
Third
1308
#44
16.93.4
16.219.6
Auto4.7
Teleop7.4
End4.9
blue by 5.7
3324
#43
22.61.4
19.921.4
Auto4.7
Teleop13.2
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
68%Activation oddsMissed81%Activation oddsEarned