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Qual 102023 Buckeye Regional
Red132
225256.8
642149.3
584736.3
Blue95
239943.0
412126.2
381432.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12910340608012014016018020013295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2252
#2
56.80.7
47.6→48.3
Auto15.9
Teleop32.1
End8.8
red by 13.8
2399
#22
43.00.7
43.0→42.3
Auto12.5
Teleop22.3
End7.8
Second
6421
#5
49.30.6
41.8→42.4
Auto15.2
Teleop26.6
End7.5
red by 16.4
3814
#29
32.90.7
31.4→30.7
Auto11.5
Teleop16.2
End5.1
Third
5847
#14
36.30.6
28.7→29.3
Auto7.9
Teleop20.0
End8.4
red by 10.1
4121
#34
26.20.7
25.3→24.6
Auto11.6
Teleop8.8
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
57%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
75%Activation oddsEarned80%Activation oddsMissed