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Qual 32023 Buckeye Regional
Red104
907513.3
541332.9
461143.0
Blue106
871316.2
317347.7
584736.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85845060708090100110120104106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4611
#4
43.00.9
32.8→33.7
Auto9.7
Teleop24.2
End8.9
blue by 4.7
3173
#13
47.71.7
38.3→40.0
Auto13.7
Teleop25.3
End8.6
Second
5413
#19
32.90.9
28.9→29.8
Auto7.3
Teleop17.3
End8.3
blue by 3.5
5847
#14
36.31.7
26.9→28.7
Auto7.9
Teleop20.0
End8.4
Third
9075
#28
13.36.7
24.5→17.9
Auto4.0
Teleop3.6
End5.8
blue by 2.9
8713
#27
16.22.9
14.7→17.6
Auto7.9
Teleop2.5
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
78%Activation oddsEarned58%Activation oddsEarned