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Red71
37936.1
618143.9
81456.6
Blue118
222837.8
112621.5
209520.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8165204010012014071118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.90.3
31.030.7
Auto10.4
Teleop24.3
End9.1
red by 6.1
2228
#26
37.83.0
29.932.9
Auto10.8
Teleop19.2
End7.9
Second
379
#30
36.10.2
31.531.3
Auto11.2
Teleop16.7
End8.3
red by 14.6
1126
#36
21.53.4
13.016.4
Auto5.8
Teleop8.0
End7.7
Third
8145
#52
6.60.3
11.110.8
Auto1.4
Teleop3.6
End1.5
blue by 13.9
2095
#41
20.43.0
19.822.8
Auto2.8
Teleop13.9
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
39%Activation oddsMissed13%Activation oddsEarned