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Qual 52023 Buckeye Regional
Red141
402861.6
12030.4
140540.0
Blue103
871814.5
225256.8
260344.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120105406080140160141103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4028
#1
61.60.1
51.1→51.2
Auto16.7
Teleop36.3
End8.1
red by 4.8
2252
#2
56.80.2
47.4→47.6
Auto15.9
Teleop32.1
End8.8
Second
1405
#17
40.00.1
33.4→33.5
Auto8.8
Teleop24.0
End7.2
blue by 4.4
2603
#16
44.30.2
35.3→35.5
Auto11.4
Teleop23.3
End9.5
Third
120
#20
30.40.2
25.9→26.1
Auto7.4
Teleop15.5
End7.5
red by 15.9
8718
#40
14.50.3
17.3→17.7
Auto1.4
Teleop7.2
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
26%Sustainability oddsEarned28%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
65%Activation oddsEarned73%Activation oddsEarned