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Red105
12030.4
217225.9
4846.4
Blue63
426921.2
130816.9
381432.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1017720406012014016010563

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
#8
46.40.5
39.940.4
Auto13.6
Teleop25.5
End7.4
red by 13.6
3814
#29
32.90.8
33.933.1
Auto11.5
Teleop16.2
End5.1
Second
120
#20
30.40.5
27.728.2
Auto7.4
Teleop15.5
End7.5
red by 9.2
4269
#39
21.20.8
22.721.8
Auto7.4
Teleop7.2
End6.6
Third
2172
#25
25.90.5
24.625.1
Auto6.1
Teleop13.4
End6.4
red by 9.0
1308
#44
16.91.4
19.017.6
Auto4.7
Teleop7.4
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
41%Activation oddsEarned39%Activation oddsEarned