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Qual 552023 Buckeye Regional
Red109
809649.3
824319.7
239943.0
Blue136
696433.2
140540.0
618143.9
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107108708090100120130140109136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8096
#23
49.30.4
45.6→46.1
Auto14.6
Teleop27.9
End6.7
red by 5.3
6181
#6
43.94.2
36.1→40.3
Auto10.4
Teleop24.3
End9.1
Second
2399
#22
43.00.4
37.8→38.3
Auto12.5
Teleop22.3
End7.8
red by 3.0
1405
#17
40.02.5
33.0→35.5
Auto8.8
Teleop24.0
End7.2
Third
8243
#33
19.70.7
19.0→19.7
Auto5.9
Teleop9.2
End4.6
blue by 13.5
6964
#9
33.22.5
29.4→31.9
Auto11.9
Teleop13.5
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
41%Sustainability oddsEarned17%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
58%Activation oddsMissed72%Activation oddsEarned