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Red40
201019.6
209520.4
814010.1
Blue113
461143.0
377718.6
225256.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50123010015040113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2095
#41
20.41.1
23.922.8
Auto2.8
Teleop13.9
End3.8
blue by 36.3
56.80.5
52.352.7
Auto15.9
Teleop32.1
End8.8
Second
2010
#46
19.61.8
21.719.9
Auto7.1
Teleop5.2
End7.3
blue by 23.3
43.00.5
36.937.3
Auto9.7
Teleop24.2
End8.9
Third
8140
#51
10.11.8
10.58.7
Auto4.1
Teleop3.7
End2.3
blue by 8.6
3777
#32
18.60.8
16.817.6
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed46%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
13%Activation oddsMissed83%Activation oddsEarned