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Red79
574034.2
584736.3
130816.9
Blue109
260344.3
566731.3
824319.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions949240608010012014016079109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5847
#14
36.30.9
35.034.1
Auto7.9
Teleop20.0
End8.4
blue by 8.0
2603
#16
44.31.2
42.443.5
Auto11.4
Teleop23.3
End9.5
Second
5740
#21
34.20.9
35.434.5
Auto8.9
Teleop17.5
End7.7
red by 2.9
5667
#24
31.31.2
24.425.6
Auto8.4
Teleop17.0
End5.7
Third
1308
#44
16.91.4
17.115.7
Auto4.7
Teleop7.4
End4.9
blue by 2.7
8243
#33
19.71.8
19.721.6
Auto5.9
Teleop9.2
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
18%Sustainability oddsMissed43%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
36%Activation oddsMissed55%Activation oddsEarned