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Red102
81456.6
746040.1
320143.8
Blue129
45121.4
461143.0
381432.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9097607080110120130140102129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3201
#18
43.80.8
39.840.6
Auto10.1
Teleop24.6
End9.1
red by 0.8
43.01.9
37.339.2
Auto9.7
Teleop24.2
End8.9
Second
7460
#10
40.10.8
37.238.0
Auto9.4
Teleop23.2
End7.4
red by 7.2
3814
#29
32.91.9
33.535.4
Auto11.5
Teleop16.2
End5.1
Third
8145
#52
6.61.2
8.39.5
Auto1.4
Teleop3.6
End1.5
blue by 14.9
451
#31
21.41.9
19.421.3
Auto6.0
Teleop10.4
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed12%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
68%Activation oddsMissed61%Activation oddsEarned