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Red83
112621.5
37936.1
824319.7
Blue118
541332.9
460118.4
746040.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7993406010012014083118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
#30
36.10.5
35.435.8
Auto11.2
Teleop16.7
End8.3
blue by 3.9
7460
#10
40.11.5
38.039.5
Auto9.4
Teleop23.2
End7.4
Second
1126
#36
21.50.5
19.119.6
Auto5.8
Teleop8.0
End7.7
blue by 11.4
5413
#19
32.91.5
30.632.2
Auto7.3
Teleop17.3
End8.3
Third
8243
#33
19.70.7
21.622.2
Auto5.9
Teleop9.2
End4.6
red by 1.3
4601
#35
18.41.5
16.618.1
Auto6.6
Teleop7.5
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
16%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
51%Activation oddsEarned55%Activation oddsEarned