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Red167
320143.8
332422.6
402861.6
Blue44
377718.6
788521.1
907513.3
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14247010020016744

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.61.4
57.959.2
Auto16.7
Teleop36.3
End8.1
red by 40.5
7885
#47
21.11.2
23.622.5
Auto8.3
Teleop8.5
End4.3
Second
3201
#18
43.81.4
40.642.0
Auto10.1
Teleop24.6
End9.1
red by 25.1
3777
#32
18.61.2
19.418.3
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End6.1
Third
3324
#43
22.61.4
23.124.5
Auto4.7
Teleop13.2
End4.7
red by 9.4
9075
#28
13.31.2
13.011.8
Auto4.0
Teleop3.6
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
61%Sustainability oddsEarned10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned42%Activation oddsEarned