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Red103
822224.7
642149.3
871814.5
Blue123
112621.5
566731.3
4846.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86976080120140103123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.31.4
47.749.1
Auto15.2
Teleop26.6
End7.5
red by 2.9
48
#8
46.41.9
43.445.3
Auto13.6
Teleop25.5
End7.4
Second
8222
#12
24.71.9
21.723.5
Auto6.9
Teleop10.3
End7.6
blue by 6.6
5667
#24
31.31.9
26.628.5
Auto8.4
Teleop17.0
End5.7
Third
8718
#40
14.51.9
12.614.5
Auto1.4
Teleop7.2
End5.9
blue by 7.0
1126
#36
21.51.9
19.621.5
Auto5.8
Teleop8.0
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
22%Sustainability oddsMissed18%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned51%Activation oddsEarned