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Qual 832023 Buckeye Regional
Red104
278338.9
320143.8
871316.2
Blue103
317347.7
37936.1
130816.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1001066080120140160104103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3201
#18
43.80.7
42.0→42.6
Auto10.1
Teleop24.6
End9.1
blue by 3.9
3173
#13
47.70.3
45.9→46.3
Auto13.7
Teleop25.3
End8.6
Second
2783
#7
38.90.7
37.0→37.6
Auto9.5
Teleop20.9
End8.6
red by 2.8
379
#30
36.10.3
35.8→36.1
Auto11.2
Teleop16.7
End8.3
Third
8713
#27
16.20.9
15.3→16.2
Auto7.9
Teleop2.5
End5.8
blue by 0.8
1308
#44
16.90.4
16.5→16.9
Auto4.7
Teleop7.4
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
72%Activation oddsEarned82%Activation oddsEarned