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Red130
822224.7
222837.8
809649.3
Blue133
746040.1
642149.3
574034.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1161346080100160180200130133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8096
#23
49.30.3
48.949.3
Auto14.6
Teleop27.9
End6.7
Level
49.30.2
49.349.5
Auto15.2
Teleop26.6
End7.5
Second
2228
#26
37.80.3
37.537.8
Auto10.8
Teleop19.2
End7.9
blue by 2.2
7460
#10
40.10.2
40.140.3
Auto9.4
Teleop23.2
End7.4
Third
8222
#12
24.70.4
24.324.7
Auto6.9
Teleop10.3
End7.6
blue by 9.5
5740
#21
34.20.2
34.334.5
Auto8.9
Teleop17.5
End7.7