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Red44
716533.6
581127.0
348419.2
Blue70
603226.1
349227.4
170823.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions607102040801001201401604470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7165
#29
33.61.5
21.920.4
Auto12.0
Teleop14.9
End6.8
red by 6.2
3492
#27
27.40.5
22.422.9
Auto8.0
Teleop13.9
End5.5
Second
5811
#24
27.01.5
18.617.1
Auto7.8
Teleop12.8
End6.3
red by 0.8
6032
#36
26.10.5
21.121.6
Auto9.1
Teleop11.9
End5.1
Third
3484
#34
19.21.5
17.315.8
Auto1.2
Teleop9.5
End8.5
blue by 4.0
1708
#30
23.20.5
21.822.4
Auto6.2
Teleop11.7
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
30%Activation oddsMissed39%Activation oddsMissed