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Red50
566721.2
751522.4
711119.1
Blue94
402047.4
541328.9
225247.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5110201502005094

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7515
#40
22.40.5
17.717.2
Auto4.8
Teleop12.2
End5.4
blue by 25.0
47.40.6
36.936.3
Auto12.9
Teleop23.7
End10.8
Second
5667
#39
21.20.5
17.817.3
Auto7.2
Teleop9.3
End4.7
blue by 26.2
47.40.6
29.128.5
Auto16.5
Teleop24.5
End6.3
Third
7111
#37
19.10.5
19.018.5
Auto4.6
Teleop8.9
End5.6
blue by 9.8
28.90.6
23.222.6
Auto5.0
Teleop15.1
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
40%Activation oddsMissed62%Activation oddsEarned