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Red117
14428.1
402851.1
412127.2
Blue44
348419.2
205121.8
319317.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9347015011744

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4028
#12
51.13.9
34.238.1
Auto14.6
Teleop30.1
End6.3
red by 29.3
2051
#26
21.81.3
12.711.4
Auto5.3
Teleop11.1
End5.4
Second
144
#41Sur
28.13.9
22.726.6
Auto10.2
Teleop12.8
End5.1
red by 8.8
3484
#34Sur
19.21.3
15.814.5
Auto1.2
Teleop9.5
End8.5
Third
4121
#18
27.23.9
25.028.9
Auto10.4
Teleop10.2
End6.6
red by 9.9
3193
#22
17.31.3
21.920.6
Auto4.0
Teleop6.6
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
41%Activation oddsEarned26%Activation oddsMissed