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Red71
414525.8
349227.4
239942.1
Blue94
103835.1
402047.4
696424.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82962040601201401607194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2399
#17
42.11.4
28.927.5
Auto12.9
Teleop20.5
End8.4
blue by 5.3
47.40.6
36.336.9
Auto12.9
Teleop23.7
End10.8
Second
3492
#27
27.41.4
22.921.5
Auto8.0
Teleop13.9
End5.5
blue by 7.7
1038
#14
35.10.4
30.430.7
Auto10.6
Teleop18.6
End5.9
Third
4145
#20
25.81.4
27.025.5
Auto9.4
Teleop10.0
End6.4
red by 1.5
6964
#38
24.30.6
22.022.6
Auto8.3
Teleop9.8
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
59%Activation oddsMissed71%Activation oddsMissed