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Red64
460111.7
549225.6
398427.6
Blue22
566721.2
45112.5
450416.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions634602040801001206422

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3984
#32
27.60.8
18.018.8
Auto4.3
Teleop14.9
End8.3
red by 6.4
5667
#39
21.22.6
14.912.3
Auto7.2
Teleop9.3
End4.7
Second
5492
#44
25.60.8
29.230.0
Auto6.0
Teleop14.7
End5.0
red by 8.6
4504
#48
16.92.6
20.517.9
Auto3.0
Teleop10.7
End3.3
Third
4601
#49
11.70.8
9.710.5
Auto2.9
Teleop5.7
End3.1
blue by 0.8
451
#43
12.52.6
10.17.5
Auto3.1
Teleop6.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
26%Activation oddsMissed13%Activation oddsMissed