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Red70
348419.2
696424.3
381431.6
Blue66
566721.2
319317.3
581127.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions656558606264666870727066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3814
#21
31.60.9
23.222.4
Auto9.8
Teleop14.6
End7.2
red by 4.6
5811
#24
27.01.9
20.518.6
Auto7.8
Teleop12.8
End6.3
Second
6964
#38
24.30.9
19.518.6
Auto8.3
Teleop9.8
End6.2
red by 3.2
5667
#39
21.21.9
19.717.8
Auto7.2
Teleop9.3
End4.7
Third
3484
#34
19.20.9
18.217.3
Auto1.2
Teleop9.5
End8.5
red by 1.9
3193
#22
17.31.9
20.718.8
Auto4.0
Teleop6.6
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
44%Activation oddsMissed44%Activation oddsMissed