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Red102
170823.2
402851.1
566721.2
Blue113
260335.3
320138.0
581127.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions851044060120140160180102113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4028
#12
51.12.2
43.245.5
Auto14.6
Teleop30.1
End6.3
red by 13.1
3201
#11
38.00.3
34.634.9
Auto10.4
Teleop21.3
End6.4
Second
1708
#30
23.22.2
22.724.9
Auto6.2
Teleop11.7
End5.3
blue by 12.1
35.30.3
36.436.8
Auto8.0
Teleop18.5
End8.8
Third
5667
#39
21.22.2
16.018.2
Auto7.2
Teleop9.3
End4.7
blue by 5.8
5811
#24
27.00.3
23.924.2
Auto7.8
Teleop12.8
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsEarned14%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
43%Activation oddsMissed65%Activation oddsEarned