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Red114
461132.8
314029.6
278329.9
Blue72
408518.0
319317.3
261446.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85895060708010011011472

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.82.8
26.529.3
Auto6.5
Teleop18.0
End8.4
blue by 13.8
46.71.0
47.346.2
Auto13.8
Teleop23.4
End9.3
Second
2783
#31
29.92.8
27.430.2
Auto6.6
Teleop17.6
End5.6
red by 11.9
4085
#35
18.01.0
18.217.1
Auto6.8
Teleop4.8
End6.4
Third
3140
#28
29.62.8
26.229.0
Auto9.9
Teleop11.4
End8.4
red by 12.3
3193
#22
17.31.0
17.316.3
Auto4.0
Teleop6.6
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
52%Activation oddsEarned58%Activation oddsEarned