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Red128
320138.0
69555.5
350429.9
Blue101
402047.4
693618.3
603226.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13492406080100120160180200128101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
695
#1
55.50.5
54.755.2
Auto13.9
Teleop33.0
End8.4
red by 8.1
47.40.1
47.147.1
Auto12.9
Teleop23.7
End10.8
Second
3201
#11
38.00.7
36.637.3
Auto10.4
Teleop21.3
End6.4
red by 11.9
6032
#36
26.10.1
26.226.1
Auto9.1
Teleop11.9
End5.1
Third
3504
#16
29.90.7
28.829.5
Auto7.9
Teleop14.2
End7.8
red by 11.6
6936
#46
18.30.1
18.318.3
Auto6.1
Teleop8.9
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
23%Sustainability oddsEarned7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
94%Activation oddsEarned67%Activation oddsEarned