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Red113
178748.9
239942.1
55433.9
Blue81
412127.2
566721.2
278329.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138765010015020011381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.90.8
47.546.7
Auto12.7
Teleop28.3
End7.8
red by 19.0
2783
#31
29.90.3
30.229.9
Auto6.6
Teleop17.6
End5.6
Second
2399
#17
42.10.8
41.140.4
Auto12.9
Teleop20.5
End8.4
red by 14.9
4121
#18
27.20.3
27.927.6
Auto10.4
Teleop10.2
End6.6
Third
554
#13
33.90.8
34.834.1
Auto9.8
Teleop17.4
End6.6
red by 12.7
5667
#39
21.20.3
21.521.2
Auto7.2
Teleop9.3
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
22%Sustainability oddsMissed10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
81%Activation oddsEarned53%Activation oddsMissed