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Red46
294521.9
602623.2
239515.0
Blue63
141029.0
452320.0
555017.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions635302040801001201404663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6026
#19
23.21.3
26.525.3
Auto3.7
Teleop10.9
End8.6
blue by 5.8
1410
#10
29.01.4
25.426.7
Auto11.6
Teleop10.4
End7.0
Second
2945
#18
21.91.3
17.716.4
Auto4.4
Teleop11.2
End6.2
red by 2.0
4523
#17
20.01.4
15.216.6
Auto4.4
Teleop12.7
End2.8
Third
2395
#23
15.01.3
13.211.9
Auto3.9
Teleop7.4
End3.7
blue by 2.0
5550
#32
17.01.4
10.211.6
Auto6.6
Teleop4.8
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
32%Activation oddsMissed29%Activation oddsMissed