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Red50
460312.5
271820.9
17507.9
Blue86
316021.7
156132.9
393123.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3958020801005086

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2718
#24
20.90.7
17.116.4
Auto6.6
Teleop10.9
End3.3
blue by 12.0
32.92.2
19.822.0
Auto7.9
Teleop15.8
End9.3
Second
4603
#31
12.50.7
9.08.3
Auto3.1
Teleop5.0
End4.4
blue by 11.1
23.62.2
17.419.7
Auto5.1
Teleop10.2
End8.3
Third
1750
#34
7.90.7
12.812.2
Auto2.9
Teleop3.3
End1.7
blue by 13.8
3160
#13
21.73.7
15.218.9
Auto2.4
Teleop15.1
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
17%Activation oddsMissed40%Activation oddsMissed