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Red75
216523.9
871114.7
233322.9
Blue91
235916.5
642443.0
294521.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5978020401001207591

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2165
#12
23.90.5
23.524.0
Auto8.6
Teleop5.8
End9.4
blue by 19.1
43.01.5
36.337.8
Auto10.2
Teleop25.7
End6.9
Second
2333
#20
22.90.5
19.720.3
Auto7.6
Teleop10.0
End5.3
red by 1.0
2945
#18
21.91.5
17.519.0
Auto4.4
Teleop11.2
End6.2
Third
8711
#33
14.70.5
14.615.2
Auto3.2
Teleop7.9
End3.5
blue by 1.9
2359
#25
16.51.5
17.418.9
Auto4.9
Teleop5.4
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
24%Activation oddsMissed13%Activation oddsEarned