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Red72
216523.9
366027.5
277317.0
Blue116
235239.8
156132.9
233322.9
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions668620406010012014072116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.50.8
23.924.8
Auto8.0
Teleop10.5
End9.1
blue by 12.3
39.84.0
32.836.8
Auto12.8
Teleop20.4
End6.5
Second
2165
#12
23.90.8
24.024.8
Auto8.6
Teleop5.8
End9.4
blue by 9.0
32.92.5
24.727.2
Auto7.9
Teleop15.8
End9.3
Third
2773
#14
17.00.8
16.217.0
Auto3.3
Teleop6.0
End7.7
blue by 5.9
2333
#20
22.93.7
20.324.0
Auto7.6
Teleop10.0
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
42%Activation oddsEarned50%Activation oddsEarned