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Red82
237327.0
17507.9
235239.8
Blue92
277317.0
642443.0
239515.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions787240601001208292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.81.0
36.837.7
Auto12.8
Teleop20.4
End6.5
blue by 3.2
43.01.7
39.541.2
Auto10.2
Teleop25.7
End6.9
Second
2373
#16
27.00.9
24.825.7
Auto6.6
Teleop15.5
End4.9
red by 10.0
2773
#14
17.01.7
17.018.6
Auto3.3
Teleop6.0
End7.7
Third
1750
#34
7.90.9
10.511.4
Auto2.9
Teleop3.3
End1.7
blue by 7.1
2395
#23
15.01.7
11.713.3
Auto3.9
Teleop7.4
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
36%Activation oddsMissed40%Activation oddsEarned