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Red92
156132.9
900718.8
555017.0
Blue123
452320.0
316021.7
216523.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6468010020030040050092123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.92.1
29.531.6
Auto7.9
Teleop15.8
End9.3
red by 9.0
2165
#12
23.90.6
24.024.5
Auto8.6
Teleop5.8
End9.4
Second
9007
#21
18.82.5
16.819.4
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End6.3
blue by 2.9
3160
#13
21.70.6
19.920.4
Auto2.4
Teleop15.1
End4.2
Third
5550
#32
17.02.5
14.517.0
Auto6.6
Teleop4.8
End5.6
blue by 2.9
4523
#17
20.00.6
19.219.8
Auto4.4
Teleop12.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
23%Activation oddsEarned14%Activation oddsMissed