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Red104
871114.7
393123.6
161952.8
Blue80
294521.9
324723.1
141029.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9674406012014016018010480

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.81.5
51.452.9
Auto14.4
Teleop28.7
End9.6
red by 23.8
1410
#10
29.00.6
28.128.7
Auto11.6
Teleop10.4
End7.0
Second
23.61.1
22.123.2
Auto5.1
Teleop10.2
End8.3
red by 0.5
3247
#22
23.10.6
22.723.4
Auto10.6
Teleop7.3
End5.2
Third
8711
#33
14.71.4
14.015.3
Auto3.2
Teleop7.9
End3.5
blue by 7.2
2945
#18
21.90.6
21.422.0
Auto4.4
Teleop11.2
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
55%Activation oddsEarned57%Activation oddsEarned