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Red91
235239.8
216523.9
429314.1
Blue22
871114.7
17507.9
55788.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61552040801009122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.83.3
16.019.3
Auto12.8
Teleop20.4
End6.5
red by 25.1
8711
#33
14.73.9
20.116.2
Auto3.2
Teleop7.9
End3.5
Second
2165
#12
23.93.3
21.524.8
Auto8.6
Teleop5.8
End9.4
red by 15.1
5578
#29
8.83.9
17.113.2
Auto3.2
Teleop5.6
End0.0
Third
4293
#26
14.13.3
19.022.3
Auto5.8
Teleop5.6
End2.7
red by 6.2
1750
#34
7.93.9
15.211.3
Auto2.9
Teleop3.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
39%Activation oddsEarned29%Activation oddsMissed