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Red103
316033.6
198643.3
235929.2
Blue68
924417.4
602632.3
233334.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions996505015020010368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#15
43.31.0
37.538.4
Auto13.9
Teleop22.8
End6.6
red by 8.3
2333
#34
34.90.5
23.122.7
Auto10.2
Teleop20.4
End4.2
Second
3160
#29
33.61.0
22.223.2
Auto6.9
Teleop19.7
End7.0
red by 1.3
6026
#35
32.30.5
25.725.2
Auto7.1
Teleop17.1
End8.2
Third
2359
#20
29.21.0
28.829.8
Auto10.1
Teleop11.9
End7.2
red by 11.8
9244
#45
17.40.8
16.515.7
Auto5.7
Teleop9.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsEarned7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
42%Activation oddsEarned42%Activation oddsMissed