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Red103
555022.4
233334.9
277326.5
Blue108
642461.3
350714.0
297230.2
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions561160100150200250103108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2333
#34
34.92.5
22.725.2
Auto10.2
Teleop20.4
End4.2
blue by 26.3
61.30.4
55.155.6
Auto15.0
Teleop37.1
End8.7
Second
2773
#26
26.52.5
20.222.7
Auto8.8
Teleop11.9
End5.9
blue by 3.7
30.20.4
22.723.2
Auto10.1
Teleop11.7
End8.4
Third
5550
#40
22.42.5
17.419.9
Auto8.9
Teleop9.4
End4.1
red by 8.4
3507
#36
14.00.7
23.524.3
Auto5.9
Teleop7.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed23%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
33%Activation oddsMissed80%Activation oddsEarned